Tuesday, December 24, 2019

Best Horror Movies of the 2010's

What a decade for horror it was. Anyone who is a fan of the genre is in universal agreement that the past five years has been the best period of time for horror movies in over 30 years. Personally I think the past five years has been the second best run for horror movies ever, only the run from 1978-1984 that gave us the The Shining, the Exorcist, Halloween, Nightmare on Elm Street, The Thing, Friday the 13th, An American Werewolf in London, Alien, and many many more gems can compare to what we are seeing right now. The reason for this is not hard to see. With such an incredible crop to choose from I had my work cut out for me, but here it is, my top 25 horror movies from a loaded decade.

25. We Are Still Here

24. The Endless-Mind bending Sci-fi not usually up my alley but this movie kicked ass and nailed the ending which movies like this don't usually do.

23. Blair Witch-Many hate this remake that technically a sequel, but I found it to be a pretty good follow-up to one of the most well known horror movies in my lifetime.

22. 10 Cloverfield Lane-One of many suspenseful, tense, thrillers on this list. Top notch suspense, a great cast, and a batshit bonkers ending to bring it all home.

21. Super Dark Times-Stranger things made "kids on bikes in the 80s" movies a staple of the decade and this was one of the few bleak ones within that subgrenre.

20. The Invitation-Even though I thought the way this movie was going to play out was very predictable, the journey to that point was still well done and tense.

19. I am Not a Serial Killer-Would have been up a few more spots higher if it didn't lose me at the end. Still a great character study of how a teenager has to find his way in the world knowing that he is a psychopath but wanting to do the right thing.

18. Hush-Another tense thriller mixed with some slasher goodness and a unique twist in that the person being stalked is deaf.

17. Halloween-So this reboot/Sequel didn't quite live up to my high expectations, it was still great to get a new Michael Myers movie and it certainly wasn't bad, as per its deserved place on this list.

16. Tales of Halloween-Anthologies are very hit or miss but I found this one to have more hits, helped by its Halloween atmosphere.

15. Scream 4-The best 4th entry in a horror franchise, which isn't saying a lot but it is refreshing to see a long running horror franchise continue to find ways to stay fresh and new and suprise you when most are stale and repetitive by this point.

14. Creep-Definitely the most simple premise you will see on this list as the entire movie has just two characters. Another tense thriller that keeps you guessing what the hell is actually going on right until the end.

13. What we do in the Shadows-It is a horror? Well there's blood, gore, and vampires so I'll say yes. But damn is it hilarious as well.

12. Piranha-A remake of a 70s cult classic, this movie earns its place on this list for the hilariously over the top gore effects. Sometimes you just need a schlocky gore fest and this movie nailed that.

11. Summer of '84-Another Stranger Things inspired "kids on bikes in the 80s" type movie. One of the few movies in which the ending legitimately made my skin crawl.

10. Don't Breathe-Yet another tense thriller, and probably the most tense of all. This movie went to some dark and crazy places I wasn't expecting going in and left me feeling floored by the end.

9. Evil Dead-Probably the only true modern horror remake ever to get rave reviews. Gory, scary, and just downright a damn good movie, remake or not.

8. Us-Jordan Peele's sophomore effort does not quite live up to the near impossible standards his first movie set, mostly because the plot is a little more convoluted, but it proved that Peele was not a one hit wonder. In 2020, Peele goes for this third horror hit with a remake of "Candyman."

7. Hereditary-Dark, bleak, yet scary all the same. That this movie makes the same list as "What we do in the Shadows" proves how diverse horror was this decade."

6. It Follows-Maybe no movie since the original Halloween has been propped up so much by its music.

5. Sinister-In 2012 mainstream big studio horror was mostly dead, but Sinister became the first big hit in a number of years, and with good reason. A disturbing premise that maintains a creepy atmosphere throughout its whole run time.

4. Get Out-Jordan Peele's second showing in the top ten, and the first true horror movie since 1991 to be nominated for best picture at the Oscars. That alone tells you all you need to know about this masterpiece.

3. Cabin in the Woods
2. Doctor Sleep
1. It Chapter One

Notable Omissions: These are movies that are on many peoples best of the 2010s list that did not make mine:

The Babadook: I've tried to watch this movie three times now and simply can't find much enjoyment in it. Many hail this as a modern classic, not me.

Ex machina: I have seen this on many lists of the best horror movies of the decade. I love this movie but have a hard time putting it in the horror category, so I left it out.

Midsommar: A movie that just came out this year, so maybe I need to have more time to let it sink in and in a few years will find more to like about it. It was fine, but too drawn out and would maybe make my top 30, but not top 25.

Green Room: I have actually not watched this yet, but it is on my list.

The Witch: Similar to the Babadook, I just can't get into it the way others can. Unlike the Babadook, I don't despise this movie, but do find it overrated.

A Quiet Place: The more I think about this movie, the more I consider it maybe one of the most overrated horror movies I've ever seen. This movie takes suspension of disbelief too far, which says a lot for a horror movie. For people who are supposed to be silent it actually feels like they make a lot of noise throughout the movie with no consequences. Just way too much logical inconsistencies for me to sift through.

Saturday, August 3, 2019

What is going on with the Box Office in 2019?

As has been stated a few times before, one of my interests in following the box office and how much money movies make. I like following success stories and failures and then looking at potential factors in why certain movies succeeded or failed. 2019 has been an extremely interesting year to follow at the box office, and to this point it has been a year the likes of which has never been seen before. Lets take a look at the top 20 movies of the year so far and how much money they have made.

1Avengers: EndgameBV$857,190,3354,662$357,115,0074,6624/26-
2Captain MarvelBV$426,829,8394,310$153,433,4234,3103/87/4
3Toy Story 4BV$404,979,7434,575$120,908,0654,5756/21-
4The Lion King (2019)BV$403,748,0784,802$191,770,7594,7257/19-
5Spider-Man: Far from HomeSony$354,788,9254,634$92,579,2124,6347/2-
6Aladdin (2019)BV$348,926,5924,476$91,500,9294,4765/24-
7UsUni.$175,005,9303,743$71,117,6253,7413/226/6
8John Wick: Chapter 3 - ParabellumLG/S$169,935,8573,850$56,818,0673,8505/17-
9How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden WorldUni.$160,799,5054,286$55,022,2454,2592/226/13
10The Secret Life of Pets 2Uni.$154,899,0254,564$46,652,6804,5616/7-
11Pokemon Detective PikachuWB$143,918,4514,248$54,365,2424,2025/10-
12Shazam!WB (NL)$140,371,6564,306$53,505,3264,2174/57/25
13Dumbo (2019)BV$114,750,1814,259$45,990,7484,2593/29-
14GlassUni.$111,035,0053,844$40,328,9203,8411/184/4
15Godzilla: King of the MonstersWB$110,074,5014,108$47,776,2934,1085/31-
16The UpsideSTX$108,252,5173,568$20,355,0003,0801/115/2
17The LEGO Movie 2: The Second PartWB$105,806,5084,303$34,115,3354,3032/85/9
18RocketmanPar.$95,335,5493,610$25,725,7223,6105/31-
19Alita: Battle AngelFox$85,710,2103,802$28,525,6133,7902/145/9
20Men in Black InternationalSony$79,017,701

Now lets dissect this a bit. Alladin is the #6 movie of the year and has made $348 million. By the end of its run it will cross $350 million making for six movies making at least 350 million by eaely August. Even when adjusting ticket prices for every year to 2019 ticket prices I had to go all the way back to 2004 to find a year where there were six $350 million dollar movies for the entire year! There are at least two more movies this year guaranteed to cross 350 million (Star Wars and Frozen 2) with two more movies that both have about a 50/50 chance of making it (IT 2, and Jumanji 2.) But now look at the gap between Aladdin and the #7 movie of the year, US. Us made $175 million, which means the gap between the #6 and #7 movie is going to be double! Not a single movie has made between 175 million and 350 million this year! This result shows a disturbing trend at the box office the past few years that has slowly developed and reached an insane level this year. That trend is that people are showing up in larger numbers than ever to see the Mega Blockbuster movies, but are showing up in lower numbers than ever to see every other movie. They say the gap between the rich and poor is larger than ever in America and its a good analogy to whats happened to the box office. The gap betweent he big blockbuster movies and the mid level movies is larger than ever. 

This summer Spider-Man, Lion King, Alladin, and Toy Story 4 were all massive successes but it came at the expense of everything else that came out. Literally every single movie since Memorial Day that wasnt these 4 movies has underperformed expectations and most of them underperformed in a big way. Just a few examples

Men in Black-Expected Gross: 110 Million Actual: 80 Million
Rocketman-Expected Gross: 175 Million Actual: 95 Million
Godzilla-Expected Gross: 200 Million Actual: 110 Million
Secret Life of Pets 2-Expected Gross: 220 Million Actual: 155 Million
Annabelle Goes Home-Expected Gross: 110 Million Actual: 70 Million

I could go on and on but basically the point is that if you are not a mega five star blockbuster movie, you are probably going to make less than you want. If this trend becomes normal for many more years we could see a time where more mid level movies go straight to blu ray and streaming and never even make it to the movie theater, and the only movies at the theater will be the big blockbusters. Hopefully this trend normalizes, but for 2019 there is a huge difference between the haves and have nots. 

Thursday, July 4, 2019

Ranking every movie seen so far in theaters this year

It's been a wild first six months for movie this year. Many of the movies I was highly anticipating ended up being dissapointing, while several movies that I didn't have on my radar at all when the year started I went out and saw and highly enjoyed. As such, the top ten has several under the radar movies mixed in with the big name movies. What didn't disappoint this year? Marvel of course. While other franchises struggled to make enjoyable movies Marvel continues to pump out several epic movies year after year that do not disappoint, will their reign ever end? Also not disappointing? Jordan Peele, as his highly anticipated follow up to "Get Out", "Us" was just as good in my opinion, but in a different way. The dissapointments? In no particular order the movies that let me down to varying degrees: Godzilla, Men in Black, Detective Pikachu, Pet Semetary, Shazam!, and Annabelle Comes Home. Here is the official ranking to this point of the year

1. Avengers: Endgame
2. Spider-Man: Far From Home
3.   Us
4. Booksmart
5. John Wick 3
6. Captain Marvel
7. Long Shot
8. Toy Story 4
9. Glass
10. Brightburn
11. Child's Play
12. Aladdin
13. Shazam!
14. How to Train Your Dragon 3
15. Ma
16. Godzilla
17. Rocketman
18. Detective Pikachu
19. Pet Semetary
20. Annaballe Comes Home
21. Men in Black: International
22. Dark Phoenix
23. The Lego Movie 2
24. Escape Room
25. Alita: Battle Angel
26. Dumbo
27. The Curse of La LLorona
28. Hellboy
29. Secret Life of Pets 2

Monday, May 13, 2019

Update on Force Awakens Vs Endgame

Two weeks ago I posted a detailed article on the chances of Endgame passing The Force Awakens for the highest grossing movie of all time. It was a long article but the summary of the article was this: The Force Awakens made $937 million and Endgame made $357 million opening weekend. Last year Infinity War made 38% of its money opening weekend. If Endgame made exactly 38% of its money opening weekend it would make it to $942 million and pass Force Awakens by a mere 5 million. So how has it played out since then.

In short, the chances of Endgame passing The Force Awakens is now completely dead. Endgame ended up being much more frontloaded than Infinity War.

Like I said last time, Endgame would need to follow Infinity Wars run from last year to match the Force Awakens and that has not happened. In weekend number two from May 3rd-May 5th Endgame dropped 58.7% from opening weekend, compared to Infinity War last year which dropped 55.5% in its second weekend. In its third weekend from May 10th-May 12th Endgame dropped 57.1% from its second weekend, compared to Infinity War which only dropped 45.9% in its third weekend. Endgames drops are harder than Infinity Wars drops were, so it has ended up being more frontloaded than Infinity War and it is too late to stabilize enough to catch Force Awakens.

At this rate, Endgame looks headed for a total of around 870 to 890 Million, Still easily enough to pass Avatar's 760 million for second all time, but ending up well short of Force Awakens. 

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

So now that the opening weekend record has been obliterated, what chance does Endgame have of becoming the highest grossing movie of all time?

In 1996, Titanic took over the Box Office world and became the highest grossing movie of all time, amassing 659 million dollars. That record stood for 14 years until Avatar finally overtook it when it made 760 million, and finally Stars Wars: The Force Awakens overtook Avatar in 2015 with a stunning 936 million. So what chance does Endgame have of getting to 937 million and  overtaking Force Awakens for the throne?

To the untrained eye it may seem like Endgame should have no problem doing it? After all, after three days Force Awakens had 247 million and after three days Endgame has 357 so its already pacing 110 million ahead. But unfortunately its going to end up being a lot closer than it seems at first.

For starters Marvel movies are notoriously "frontloaded" meaning they make a higher percentage of their overall money in opening weekend compared to the average movie. The Force Awakens made just 27% of its money opening weekend while the average Marvel movie makes about 35% in its opening weekend. Infinity War made 38% if its overall gross opening weekend, and Endgame will probably do about the same. If Endgame does exactly the same as Infinity War it would finish at 942 million, just eking past Force Awakens. Judging off of that alone, its going to be an incredibly close call. Remember, Infinity War also made more opening weekend than The Force Awakens did, but ended up finishing at $670 million, almost $270 million behind Force Awakens. Here's a look at the most frontloaded and most backloaded Marvel movies


Frontloaded
Captain America Civil War- Opening Weekend: 179 Million Final: 408 Million Total Percentage Made Opening Weekend: 44% If Endgame makes 44% opening weekend it will finish with: 810 Million

Backloaded: Guardians of the Galaxy-Opening Weekend: 94 Million Final: 333 Million Total Percentage Made Opening Weekend: 28% If Endgame makes 28% of its money opening weekend it will finish with: 1.1 Billion

These are extreme examples. There is no way Endgame will be as frontloaded as Civil War. Civil War had an unsatisfying ending and the hero vs hero concept did not attract many people who were not hardcore Marvel fans, causing it to be very frontloaded.  nor is their any chance it will be as backloaded as Guardians of the Galaxy. Guardians of the Galaxy was a surprise hit with very little pre-release hype, a big factor in a movie being backloaded that obviously doesn't apply to Endgame. Almost always a movie with big pre-release hype is going to be frontloaded.

So how did the Force Awakens manage to be so backloaded even though it had a ton of pre-release hype? Its release date. The Force Awakens came out in Mid December, meaning it had two full weeks of Christmas Break season to wrack up insane amounts of money, whereas Endgame will need to make most of its money on weekends with school still in session. Any movie that gets released in December or June/July generally tends to be backloaded because school breaks gives people more time to see movies. We see Force Awakens predictably making up ground right off the bat on the first Monday. Yesterday Endgame made 36 million while Force Awakens made 40 million on its first Monday. On the first weekday Endgame lost 4 million off its pace from Force Awakens and has gone from being 110 million ahead of pace to 106. That pace is going to continue to shrink the next two weeks as Endgame will inevitably have smaller weekdays than The Force Awakens did during the Christmas Break season. At the end of the day its going to be a very fun race to follow as it really is going to be very close, and right now its honestly a 50/50 call. Passing Avatar and becoming the 2nd highest of all time is a lock, and even if it doesnt beat out Force Awakens, number two is pretty awesome as well.


Monday, April 29, 2019

A History of movies breaking the record for biggest opening weekend ever.

Avengers: Endgame just broke the record for the biggest opening weekend ever. This was 100% expected, as everybody knew Endgame would top the record Infinity War set last year at 257 Million. What was not expected was how Endgame completely decimated that record. A few though Endgame had a chance at cracking 300 million, including yours truly, but NOONE foresaw what looks to be a mind boggling 360 million weekend from Endgame, which would top the previous record by over 100 Million!

What makes that so newsworthy is that breaking the opening weekend record is not actually something that is a rare feat. Not at all in fact. In 1975 Jaws set the opening weekend record when it made $7 million in its first three days. Yes, 7 million was the record which seems laughable now. Endgame recently became the 28th movie to break the previous record holder in 44 years. Do the math and that means the opening weekend record gets broken on average about once every 1.5 years. What is incredible about what Endgame did this weekend is that the opening weekend record has never lasted for more than 4 years without being broken but Endgame just decimated the previous record by so much it feels out of reach for a long time. I'd say theres a good chance it will be the first movie ever to hold the opening weekend record for more than 4 years and I'd bet it will last at least ten years, which is unprecedented.

Why does the opening weekend record get broken so often? There are a lot of factors but three very major ones.

1. Social media gets bigger and more popular every year. In the technology age, even waiting a week to see a movie feels too long as the potential to run across spoilers is dangerous and everyone wants to join in online discussions of the movie. No one wants to feel left out so they rush to see the movie right away.

2. As recently as twenty years ago movies opened on Friday mornings and that was the way it was. Then midnight screenings came into the picture and gave movies more time to make more money on opening weekend. Then about 7 years ago studios just started playing new movies on Thursday nights and called it "preview night." This basically gives movies a whole extra day to make money opening weekend than they used to get. The first playings of Endgame were at 6PM on Thursday.

3. Increase in ticket prices: This one is obvious. Movie ticket prices have skyrocketed since 1975, even since 2000. The average ticket price in 2019 is $9.01, in 2009 it was $7.50 and in 1999 it was $5.08.

Here are some notable movies to break the record, how much they made and also in parentheses how much they would have made if the average ticket price had been $9.01 like they are for Endgame.

1981: Superman 2. 14 Million (45 Million)
1983-Return of the Jedi: 21 Million (96 Million)
1989-Batman: 40 Million (96 Million)
1993-Jurassic Park: 47 Million (109 Million)
2001-Harry Potter and the Sorcerers Stone: 90 Million (143 Million)
2002-Spider-Man: 114 Million  (178 Million) (First movie to make 100 Million Opening Weekend)
2006-Pirates of the Carribean 2: 135 Million (186 Million)
2007-Spider-Man 3: 151 Million (197 Million)
2008-The Dark Knight: 158 Million (198 Million)
2011-Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: 169 Million (191 Million)
2012-The Avengers: 207 Million (230 Million) (First movie to make 200 Million Opening Weekend)
2015-Jurassic World: 208 Million (228 Million)
2015: Star Wars Episode 7: 247 Million (256 Million)
2018: Avengers: Infinity War: 257 Million (247 Million), yes the average movie ticket has gone down since last year.
2019: Avengers: Endgame: 357 Million (First movie to make 300 Million Opening weekend)

As you can see, even if you give every movie 2019 ticket prices, none of them come even with 100 million of endgame, really putting into perspective how unreal this opening weekend is. When will it be topped? I am betting on 2030 at the earliest.

Sunday, January 13, 2019

Bloody Good Horror Top Horror Movies of 2018

Bloody Good Horror is my absolute favorite horror movie website. Its a site with several writers who review and discuss both new and classic horror movies. Every year each writer submits a list of their top 10 horror movies of the year, and then I take those lists and create my own comprehensive list from theirs. a 10th place vote gets 1 point, 9th place gets 2 points and so on.

Heres a refresh of the top horror movies from last year: https://touristdirect.blogspot.com/2018/01/bloody-good-horrors-top-23-horror.html


Overall I think this year was a minor step back from last year, as there was no movie I fell in love with totally like I did last year with It and Get Out. Also, it was a bit closer this year as Get Out completely ran away with the number one slot last year with 144 points. This years number one was finished with much less points. Finally the entire top 3 last year were box office giants all amassing a ton of money at the box office, whereas this year the top two were much quieter at the box office, in fact this years top ten only sees two big box office hits. Without further ado, here is the top horror movies of 2018 from Bloody Good Horror.



23. Tigers Are Not Afraid: 8
22. Hold the Dark: 9
21. Apostle: 11
20. Searching: 11
19. Terrifier: 12
18. Unfriended: Dark Web: 13
17. Pyewacket: 14
16. Unsane: 14
15. Anna and the Apocolypse: 14
14. The Endless: 19
13. The Clovehitch Killer: 20
12. Upgrade: 21
11. The Strangers 2: 23
10. Suspiria: 28
9. Overlord: 29
8. The Ritual: 29
7. Mandy: 35
6. Cam: 50
5. Halloween: 60
4.  Revenge: 74
3. A Quiet Place: 80
2. Hereditary: 95
1. Annihiliation: 107